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FIELDNOTE 04 / THE HIRING MIRAGE

When a vacancy
is a market test

Some job ads collect information, build a future candidate pool or project growth before anyone is ready to hire. If your application disappears into silence, the problem may not be your qualifications.

01 / THE QUESTION

What if the advert is doing a different job?

You see a role that fits. You prepare an application. Nothing comes back. Sometimes the company is hiring and chooses someone else. Sometimes the ad is serving an employer's need before it serves a candidate's: measuring interest, collecting résumés or signaling activity.

The silence is real. It is not, by itself, a measurement of your professional value.

Basis: Congressional Research Service; Clarify Capital employer survey.

02 / METHOD

Five sources. Three different denominators.

1,000U.S. employers surveyed by Clarify Capital in 2025
753U.S. recruiters and HR professionals surveyed by MyPerfectResume in 2024
22k+actual jobs analyzed by hiring software provider Ashby, 2021–2024

We compared three published employer or recruiter surveys, observed hiring outcomes and the Congressional Research Service's review. We did not audit 1,000 individual vacancies. Surveys measure people or employers; Ashby measures jobs. Those percentages cannot be substituted for one another.

Sources: Clarify Capital; MyPerfectResume; ResumeBuilder; Ashby; CRS.

03 / EMPLOYER INTENT

About one in five employers reported a deliberate mismatch

Survey of 1,000 U.S. employers · 2025Intentionally leave roles unfilled to reduce costs while appearing to hire

Approximately one in five respondents reported this practice. About one in four did not plan to fill a position for at least three months.

Reported this practiceOther responses

This is a share of surveyed employers, not a finding that 20% of all job ads are fake.

The survey is self-reported. The light segment includes all other answers; it does not establish that those employers never post inactive roles.

Source and sample: Clarify Capital, Ghost Jobs 2.0, 2025.

04 / THE OTHER PURPOSES

Some adverts are used to test a market

Recruiter survey · reported reasons for inactive adsAn advert can serve several purposes

Respondents could select more than one answer. Each bar runs from 0 to 100%.

Test response to hard-to-fill jobs
38%
Stay present on job boards while not hiring
38%
Test the wording of job descriptions
36%
Study the market and competitors
26%
Improve online visibility
14%

Other reported motives included building a future talent pool (26%) and collecting résumés in bulk (12%). None of these numbers is a percentage of all job ads.

The public report does not clearly state the denominator for this motive question. The 14% online-visibility answer does not show that employers earn advertising revenue from job-seeker traffic.

Source: MyPerfectResume, 753 U.S. recruiting respondents, June 2024.

05 / SIGNALING

The audience for the ad may be inside the company

ResumeBuilder surveyed 1,641 hiring managers in 2024. The 649 who continued after reporting that their company had posted a role it did not intend to fill described the reasons: 66% cited appearing to grow, and 59% collecting résumés for a later date.

Those percentages describe a selected group that had already reported a fake posting. They are not the share of all employers or vacancies with these motives.

The same source also reports attempts to reassure or pressure current employees. It is a reminder that an advert can be aimed at investors or staff while looking to applicants like an immediate opening.

Source and screening method: ResumeBuilder/Pollfish, May 2024.

06 / REAL HIRING OUTCOMES

An unfilled job is not automatically a decoy

Ashby customer jobs · 2024 outcomesMost jobs in this dataset were filled

In 2024, 82% led to a hire and 18% did not. Across the larger 2021–2024 analysis, Ashby examined more than 22,000 jobs.

Filled: 82%No hire: 18%
97.5%of jobs at firms with 50+ employees moved at least one candidate into an active interview stage

“No hire” is an outcome, not proof of a deceptive posting. A real search can be paused, changed or cancelled.

Ashby's customers are not a representative sample of every employer, and its 18% unfilled rate cannot be applied to all vacancies.

Source and period: Ashby, How common are ghost jobs?, April 2025.

07 / THE MISSING NUMBER

Why we cannot call X% of 1,000 ads “fake”

To establish that rate, we would need a defined sample of actual postings and evidence of each employer's hiring intent when it published the ad. Listing age, a repost or an eventual closure without a hire cannot supply that intent.

The Congressional Research Service states that there is no official statistic for the magnitude of ghost jobs. Its review also describes accidental stale listings and changed hiring plans.

That uncertainty matters: a survey of 1,000 employers cannot honestly be retold as an audit of 1,000 vacancies.

Sources: Congressional Research Service, April 2025; Ashby outcome analysis.

08 / TO THE PERSON APPLYING

Dear job seeker: do not turn silence into a verdict

You may fit the written requirements and still be unable to win a role that has no approved hire, no immediate timetable or no longer exists. That does not mean every unanswered application was a decoy. It means your self-assessment should not be built from an employer's silence.

Treat a rejection as a decision about one process. Treat no reply as missing information, not proof that you are “not good enough.”

Interpretation grounded in the employer survey, observed hiring outcomes and CRS review.

09 / PROTECT YOUR TIME

Three questions before the expensive version of an application

  1. Is the role still on the employer's own careers page?
  2. Is it an approved opening being reviewed now, or a future talent pipeline?
  3. When should candidates expect a decision or status update?

Use a quick application for an uncertain lead; reserve hours of tailoring and unpaid work for a confirmed, active process.

This is an editorial time-management rule, not a validated ghost-job detector. An older advert can be genuine, and a new one can be uncertain. Keep several paths open while waiting.

Basis: CRS on several causes of ghost postings; LinkedIn's requirement for a specific role and legitimate intent to hire.

10 / THE FAIRER STANDARD

A vacancy should state what it can promise

  1. Open nowApproved role, active review and an accountable hiring owner.
  2. Future poolSay that the team is exploring future needs; do not imply an immediate vacancy.
  3. PausedUpdate the advert and people already in process when approval or timing changes.

These are editorial recommendations, not tested interventions. The useful promise to candidates is clarity about the status of the role.

Grounded in CRS's typology and LinkedIn job-post guidelines.

Sources and limits

This report is a secondary review, not our own vacancy audit. Commercial surveys disclose limited information about sampling and exact question wording. Clarify Capital's “one in five” measures surveyed employers. MyPerfectResume's motives are multiple-choice respondent answers. Ashby's unfilled-job rate cannot identify deceptive intent. No cited source establishes the percentage of all vacancies posted solely for traffic.